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Fundamental Analysis

Dollar chances for rebound grow as slowdown risks increase on hawkish central bank messages
Dollar chances for rebound grow as slowdown risks increase on hawkish central bank messages

The dollar bounced back yesterday and showed decent gain against commodity currencies, which correlate with demand for risk. This comes after the ECB issued a very aggressive statement yesterday. The...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 167
The Crude Chronicles - Episode 167

Oil Traders Cut Longs AgainThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that crude traders cut their net long positions once again last week. Total upside exposure now sits at 232k...

US & UK Inflation Falls - GBPUSD Traders Await the Fed
US & UK Inflation Falls - GBPUSD Traders Await the Fed

US Inflation Cools FurtherThe peak inflation narrative has been given a further boost this week with the latest US and UK inflation data showing a cooling of consumer prices in both economies. In the...

Staying Hawkish may Become too Difficult and Costly for the Fed after the CPI Release
Staying Hawkish may Become too Difficult and Costly for the Fed after the CPI Release

A softer-than-expected US CPI for November has made the job more difficult for the Fed, in the sense that it will be increasingly difficult to justify further rate hikes. Nevertheless, Powell is...

Precious Metals Monday 12-12-2022
Precious Metals Monday 12-12-2022

Metals Markets Await US CPI & FedFollowing the rallies we’ve seen over the last month or so, both gold and metal look hungry to break out here. Both metals have seen choppier action in recent...

FOMC Meeting Preview: Dovish Dreams may not Come True
FOMC Meeting Preview: Dovish Dreams may not Come True

The Fed is expected to deliver a 50 bp rate hike on December 14, continuing to meticulously dampen inflation pressure in the economy. However, the chances of a recession that markets price in continue...

Market weekly overview: the chances of a dollar rebound increase
Market weekly overview: the chances of a dollar rebound increase

The past week featured quiet volatility on FX and equity markets. The key gauge of US equity’s performance, the S&P 500, oscillated in a relatively narrow range (4050-3930) and is likely to end...

CNY rally may be at its initial stages as upside surprises are yet to appear in China data
CNY rally may be at its initial stages as upside surprises are yet to appear in China data

Chinese currency has risen significantly over the past few days after the government announced a further easing of social distancing measures and travel curbs. However, the rally may be at its initial...

FOMO Friday: Crude Collapses
FOMO Friday: Crude Collapses

Oil SlumpsAs something of a topsy-turvy week comes to a close in financial markets, traders are of course looking ahead to next week. The December FOMC meeting is drawing evermore attention and with...