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Fundamental Analysis

Key Economic Events and Reports for the Week Ahead

The shocking Non-Farm Payrolls report released on Friday put an end to rumors that the Fed might be wrong about inflation. Job growth in April was less than 300K, no more than a third of what was...

Fed: Still no Major Risk for Stability from Elevated Equity Markets Valuations

Rising asset prices pose an increasing threat to financial system, the Federal Reserve warned in its semi-annual financial stability report on Thursday.Governing Board Member Lael Brainard said the...

Real Rates Story Unfolds not in Favor of the USD

A number of central banks held monetary policy meetings this week. They clearly showed a tendency to speak or take decisions related to the tightening of monetary policy. Brazil, following the Russian...

BOE Forecasts Biggest UK Economic Recovery in 70 Years

GBP In Demand The British Pound has been gaining against a broad basket of counter-currencies over the European morning on Friday, buoyed by a more optimistic tone from the BOE yesterday. The UK...

Dual Event Risk For GBP Today

Today holds the potential to create a lot of volatility for GBP with both the April Bank of England monetary policy meeting and the Scottish elections being held. With the UK currency having settled...
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The Crude Chronicles - Episode 88

Crude Traders Cut Longs The latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report showed that crude traders reduced their net long positions in oil by 10,272 contracts last week, taking the total position...

US Data Disappoints, Laying the Groundwork for Weaker NFP Expectations

Brentprice failed to break above the $70 level on Wednesday, as buyers' appetite isstill constrained by some demand risks. Concerns about demand in India as wellas expectations that OPEC will soon...

US Data may Drive EURUSD Lower

Another leg of USD rally took place yesterday amid sell-off in US equities. The bout of risk aversion was fueled by the comment of the US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen that a rate hike may be needed...

EURUSD Weak Following Mixed Eurozone Data

EURUSD Under Pressure The latest data out of the eurozone today offered some small hope for bulls though, in light of the resurgence in USD, EUR remains under pressure for now. The eurozone service...